hn.today

Fossil fuels played a negligible role in the rise of atmospheric CO₂

twitter.com4 points6 comments
Screenshot of Fossil fuels played a negligible role in the rise of atmospheric CO₂

The text argues that fossil-fuel burning contributed almost nothing to the rise in atmospheric CO₂. It treats carbon’s ratio of heavier to lighter isotopes as a source “fingerprint”: fossil fuels are assigned a value near −28, ocean carbon near −8, and the measured atmospheric addition about −13.2. From this, it uses mixing calculations to claim that modern measurements allow at most a 26% fossil-fuel contribution. It then cites sponge growth layers and Antarctic ice-core records, which it says show the same fingerprint back to 1500, and concludes that fossil fuels account for only about 1% of the added carbon - effectively zero. It also challenges the IPCC and other scientific agencies’ attribution of the rise to fossil-fuel emissions.

The argument further claims that fossil-fuel CO₂ remains in the atmosphere for only about four years before plants or oceans absorb it, so it cannot build up; it estimates that fossil carbon makes up just 4% of today’s atmospheric carbon. These conclusions conflict with established evidence. A molecule’s average time in the atmosphere is not the time required for excess CO₂ to be removed, and rapid exchange does not prevent accumulation. The observed rise in CO₂, its shift toward the lighter isotope signature of fossil fuels, declining atmospheric oxygen, and carbon-budget measurements all show that fossil-fuel emissions are the primary cause of the increase, while oceans and land ecosystems are net absorbers.

Read on twitter.com6 comments on Hacker News

Summary generated by AI from the linked article. hn.today is not affiliated with Hacker News or Y Combinator.

More in Science

The daily digest

Today's best Hacker News stories, summarized and screenshotted, one email a day.