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US fired over 600 missile interceptors defending Israel in three years

stephensemler.com30 points19 comments
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An analysis of Pentagon budget documents, media reports, and open-source intelligence estimates that US forces fired 609 ballistic-missile interceptors to defend Israeli territory from October 2023 through September 2026, at a replacement cost of roughly $11 billion. The estimate covers engagements including Iran’s attacks in April and October 2024 and the major exchanges in 2025 and 2026. Most interceptors were expensive systems: 378 THAAD rounds, costing about $12 million each, and 186 SM-3 rounds, at about $31 million each. The remainder comprised 43 SM-6 or SM-2 rounds and two Patriot interceptors. The analysis argues that the United States expended more interceptors defending Israel than Israel itself did - an estimated 1.5 to two US rounds for every Israeli interceptor.

The tally excludes interceptors used to protect US forces and assets, even when those forces were involved in the same regional conflict. For example, it omits 30 Patriots fired to defend Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar in June 2025 and roughly 1,800 Patriots used during the first seven months of the 2026 Iran War. Because public reporting rarely identifies exact quantities, the estimate combines reported engagements with Pentagon replenishment and procurement records, using replacement funding and unit costs to infer numbers fired. Where records are incomplete, it applies reported firing ratios or military tactics, such as using salvos of at least two interceptors against a missile. The analysis also notes that US aid provides Israel $500 million annually for missile defense.

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