The central finding is that workers received just 52.8% of U.S. economic output as wages and salaries in the second quarter of 2026, the lowest share since records began in 1947. That compares with 53.6% in the previous quarter and a decade average of about 55.6%. The decline comes as corporate profits and GDP have grown: Fortune 500 companies earned a record $2.1 trillion in 2025, while job growth weakened sharply. Employers added 584,000 jobs in 2025, down from 2 million in 2024, and unemployment rose to 4.2%. Economists warn that the widening gap between corporate performance and worker gains could deepen economic inequality and produce growth without enough jobs.
One explanation is automation: rising productivity may let firms produce more with fewer workers, shifting income toward owners of capital. Goldman Sachs estimates AI could eventually displace 6% to 7% of jobs, though large-scale AI-driven job losses have not yet appeared in economic data, and analysts disagree about how much recent productivity growth reflects technology. Another concern is the shrinking foreign-born workforce after stricter immigration policies; researchers say this has not created more opportunities for U.S.-born workers and may leave businesses short-staffed. Proposed remedies include more welcoming immigration policies and greater investment in training and retraining, especially for technology-assisted trades. Without stronger job growth and a larger, better-prepared workforce, economists question whether the economy can sustain its expansion.
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