The US economy grew at a 3.4 per cent annualised rate in the third quarter, accelerating from 2.2 per cent in the previous quarter and exceeding analysts’ 3.2 per cent forecast. Growth was led by domestic demand: consumer spending rose 3.8 per cent despite high prices, while private fixed investment climbed 9.4 per cent, its largest increase since the post-pandemic rebound. Companies’ race to build AI data centres and acquire advanced equipment drove much of that investment. Government spending also added to growth, partly through oil sales from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve intended to ease fuel costs.
Trade restrained the headline result as imports of technology equipment rose; imports count as a subtraction in GDP. The strong output figures point to an economy holding up even as the Iran war pushes up fuel and other prices. The Fed’s preferred inflation measure reached 3.6 per cent in September, well above its 2 per cent target, while lower-income households are particularly strained by the accumulated rise in living costs. Federal Reserve officials have kept interest rates steady while assessing the data, though the hotter-than-expected inflation reading has renewed questions about whether further rate increases may be needed. The figures arrive just before midterm elections, as Donald Trump presents economic strength as evidence his policies are working.
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