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US Democrats Win Enough Seats Nationwide to End Presidential Electoral College

newrepublic.com39 points27 comments
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Democratic gains in state legislatures and governor’s offices could put the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact within reach of the threshold needed to change how presidential electors are assigned. Under the compact, participating states pledge to give all their electoral votes to the winner of the nationwide popular vote, preventing a candidate from winning the presidency while losing that vote. Nineteen states have already joined, representing 222 electoral votes. Democrats’ victories in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada could add those states; if all five sign on, participating states would control 283 electoral votes, more than the 270 needed to elect a president.

That outcome depends on whether the new Democratic governments make the compact a priority. Michigan Democrats did not pass it when they controlled the state government in 2023-24, and Nevada’s governor vetoed it in 2019, arguing that it would diminish the state’s influence. The compact also faces an unresolved constitutional question: states may choose how to appoint electors, but the Constitution bars interstate agreements without congressional consent. Democrats’ takeover of Congress could help secure approval, yet they lack the 60 Senate votes needed to overcome a filibuster. Republicans are expected to resist a change that would effectively neutralize the Electoral College, which has benefited Republican presidential candidates who lost the popular vote.

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