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U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve Falls to Lowest Level Since 1982

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U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve levels fell to 284.6 million barrels for the week ending September 18, down from 285.0 million the prior week and 406.0 million a year earlier, with Department of Energy data showing a further drop to 283.8 million the following week - the lowest since October 1982. The multi-decade lows follow a March authorization of a 172 million-barrel release by the president as part of a coordinated 400 million-barrel drawdown by 32 IEA members. Discharges began about a week after authorization and were expected to run roughly 120 days; the administration pledged to refill roughly 200 million barrels within a year at no taxpayer cost. About 133 million barrels of the drawdown were structured as swaps with Shell, Vitol and Trafigura, which are contracted to return 1.25 barrels for every barrel taken, with deliveries slated to begin early next year.

The shrinkage is now testing operational thresholds: federal law sets a minimum of 252.4 million barrels, while industry practice holds 250-300 million as the working range needed to pump and process efficiently. Analysts warn those releases bring diminishing returns and risk a market perception that options are running out, potentially becoming "self-defeating." With flows through the Strait of Hormuz still at roughly a third of pre-crisis levels, draws rather than new supply have been the main factor keeping Brent mostly under $110, highlighting that the reserve relief has limits and raises questions about longer-term energy security.

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