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Terminal Instability of the Solar System Triggered by Stochastic Solar Mass Loss

iopscience.iop.org6 points1 comments
Screenshot of Terminal Instability of the Solar System Triggered by Stochastic Solar Mass Loss

This work demonstrates that the long-term stability of the giant-planet system is governed not by smooth, adiabatic stellar mass loss but by the granularity of mass ejection during the Sun’s giant-branch evolution. Observationally inferred white-dwarf recoil velocities of roughly 0.75 km s−1 require many discrete, asymmetric ejections - plumes launched by pulsation-assisted convection - that impart small, randomly directed kicks to the Sun. Under smooth mass loss the four giant planets simply expand their semimajor axes by the factor M⋆,0/M⋆,f ≃ 1.85 (the Sun losing ≈46% of its mass to a ≈0.538 M⊙ white dwarf) while preserving period ratios and secular architecture; classical stability estimates therefore remain intact only for that idealized case.

Numerical N-body experiments incorporating stochastic, parcelized mass loss show a radically different outcome. Impulsive, randomly directed stellar recoils make every heliocentric orbit undergo a random walk whose amplitude is set by the ejection granularity. At parcel masses consistent with observed kicks, orbit crossings begin already on the red-giant branch: ~40% of realizations experience disruption or violent scattering before white-dwarf formation and ~90% self-destruct within 3 Gyr. The effective dynamical lifetime of the outer solar system thus collapses from ~10^18 yr (intrinsic chaos) to roughly a gigayear after white-dwarf formation, making terminal instability a direct consequence of stochastic mass loss.

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