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Paying the Price for Trusting the USA

phillipspobrien.substack.com5 points0 comments
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The piece argues that Saudi Arabia and Ukraine are suffering because they built their defenses around reliance on the United States rather than autonomous capabilities. Saudi Arabia’s dependence on US-supplied equipment and basing has been exposed by a week of stepped-up Houthi attacks: Oct 8 strikes on King Khalid International Airport (including a Saudia aircraft), Oct 10 a repeat attack on KKIA with 12-13 killed and over 300 wounded, further strikes on Oct 11 hitting KKIA and King Fahd (Dammam) and claimed Aramco facilities, intercepted missiles over Riyadh on Oct 12, and an Oct 13 strike on Aramco’s Dhahran headquarters. The escalation to Aramco facilities is presented as especially dangerous because it threatens Saudi revenue and global oil markets. US help so far is described as limited to intelligence-sharing, with no direct military intervention, leaving a buyer-of-security exposed when the seller refuses active support.

Ukraine’s vulnerability is portrayed as even greater because key systems - air-defense interceptors, Starlink/Starshield connectivity and intelligence - are US-provided and now constrained by US policy. After a US-declared “energy ceasefire” that Kyiv did not agree to, Ukraine has refrained from striking Russian refineries while Russian attacks on Ukrainian power continue. Reports that Starlink/Starshield access over Ukrainian territory is being limited and that intelligence flows have been cut (a charge voiced by President Zelensky) are cast as a deliberate blow that weakens Ukrainian defense and signals to Europe and other states the strategic risk of tying national security to an unreliable US partner, with potential for significant blowback.

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