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How Long Can Life Wait?

mceglowski.substack.com138 points85 comments
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How long microbes can remain inactive yet revive matters to planetary protection, the possibility of life moving between worlds, and the chance of finding ancient life on Mars. Space experiments show that ultraviolet radiation, rather than cold or vacuum alone, is the main threat; even thin dust, crevices, or layers of dead cells can shield microbes. In a three-year International Space Station experiment, Deinococcus radiodurans remained revivable, and researchers estimated that millimeter-sized clumps could endure years in space, or decades in shade. Its advantage is not preventing DNA damage but repairing it. These findings mean Earth microbes may have survived on Mars-bound spacecraft, strengthening the case for sterilizing missions and disposing of probes carefully near potentially habitable moons.

The same resilience supports lithopanspermia, the transfer of life inside rocks between planets, especially from Mars to Earth. Meteorites can avoid sterilizing heat, and impact shock can eject rock without destroying its interior; some microbes also live deep within Earth’s crust. Permafrost studies found evidence of viable bacteria in deposits 400,000-600,000 years old, while radiation likely limits survival in space to roughly 50,000-100,000 years in small rocks and perhaps 500,000 in larger ones. The final question is whether life can wait for geological ages. Rare Martian warm periods could offer temporary habitats between long cold intervals, and ancient salt crystals on Earth have repeatedly yielded apparent microbial survivors. The account introduces halite as a natural microbial archive but ends before resolving how reliable those claims are.

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