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AI Safety Is Not a Corporate Plot

astralcodexten.com13 points9 comments
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The piece argues that warnings from major AI companies about existential risk are genuine and not a cynical corporate plot to boost valuations or capture regulation. Evidence includes a 2024 survey of 1,580 AI researchers (mostly academics) in which over half assigned at least a 10% chance of human extinction or permanent severe disempowerment from AI, and 72% wanted more prioritization of safety research. Independent luminaries like Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio have publicly shifted to activism over catastrophic risk, and numerous engineers and researchers (Paul Christiano, Daniel Kokotajlo, Jacob Coxon and others) have left lucrative positions, often forgoing millions, to found safety nonprofits or blow the whistle - actions inconsistent with a profit-motivated conspiracy.

Company leaders similarly voiced serious concerns long before founding or running major labs. Dario Amodei debated superintelligence risks in 2013 and later left OpenAI to found Anthropic after internal disputes about safety and cooperation; Sam Altman, Elon Musk, and DeepMind founders expressed regulatory and existential worries years before their companies scaled. The account emphasizes that these positions predate corporate incentives and that the regulatory-capture story would require implausible foreknowledge and strategically foolish behavior by many independent actors.

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